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Working Paper

Aggression of the Weak

This paper compares equilibrium bidding strategies in a first-price sealed-bid auction with two asymmetric bidders who have dependent private valuations. Modeling bidder strength via a stochastic asymmetry condition – where one bidder is systematically more likely to hold the maximum valuation – I show that the globally weak bidder, facing a competitive disadvantage at all top valuation levels, bids more aggressively at every valuation. Conversely, the stronger bidder wins more frequently, generalizing Maskin and Riley (2000) to dependent private-value environments. When the stochastic asymmetry flips once, so that each bidder is stronger over a different range, the bid distributions cross once, with each bidder bidding more aggressively where their competitive disadvantage is most acute. In both environments, allocative inefficiency is an inherent feature of the equilibrium, driven by the stronger bidder's heightened incentives to shade bids relative to their valuation. The results translate to procurement auctions and wage competition between employers, and extend to interdependent-value auctions and the war of attrition under modified conditions.

Working Papers of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland are preliminary materials circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment on research in progress. They may not have been subject to the formal editorial review accorded official Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland publications. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not represent the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland or the Federal Reserve System.


Suggested Citation

Kaymak, Barış. 2026. “Aggression of the Weak.” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Working Paper No. 26-27. https://doi.org/10.26509/frbc-wp-202627