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Inflation Nowcasting

  • Background: “Nowcasts” are estimates or forecasts of the present.
  • Description: We provide daily nowcasts of inflation for two popular price indexes, the price index for personal consumption expenditures (PCE) and the consumer price index (CPI).

Monthly Inflation Nowcasting

  Inflation, month-over-month percent change  
Month CPI Core CPI PCE Core PCE Updated
  Inflation, year-over-year percent change  
Month CPI Core CPI PCE Core PCE Updated

Note: If the cell is blank, it implies that the actual data corresponding to the month for that inflation measure have already been released.

Quarterly Inflation Nowcasting

  Quarterly annualized percent change  
Quarter CPI Core CPI PCE Core PCE Updated

Note: If the cell is blank, it implies that the actual data corresponding to the quarter for that inflation measure have already been released.


Year:Quarter

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Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland calculations based on data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Energy Information Administration, Financial Times, and Haver Analytics


Year-Month

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Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland calculations based on data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Energy Information Administration, Financial Times, and Haver Analytics


Year-Month

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Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland calculations based on data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Energy Information Administration, Financial Times, and Haver Analytics