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Financial and Production Integration in the Macroeconomy
This paper studies how integration between the financial sector and production networks shapes business cycle transmission. We develop a dynamic model in which banks provide asset-based financing to firms embedded in supply chains. The model highlights two margins of bank–supply chain integration with opposite macroeconomic implications. Extensive-margin integration—captured by firms' access to banks specializing in different supply chain segments—amplifies negative banking shocks. By contrast, intensive-margin integration—captured by the diffusion of factoring and invoice discounting—attenuates banking disruptions. The model reveals that the stabilizing effects of integration dominate when firm production linkages are tight. The predictions are consistent with matched bank–firm data from Italy.
Working Papers of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland are preliminary materials circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment on research in progress. They may not have been subject to the formal editorial review accorded official Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland publications. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not represent the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland or the Federal Reserve System.
Suggested Citation
Brancati, Emanuele, Qingqing Cao, Raoul Minetti, and Nicholas Jaehyun Yi. 2026. “Financial and Production Integration in the Macroeconomy.” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Working Paper No. 26-19. https://doi.org/10.26509/frbc-wp-202619
This work by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland is licensed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International
