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Economic Commentary
07.15.1992 |
EC 7/15/1992
Following a string of small advances that began early last year, the pace of economic expansion, as measured by gross domestic product (GDP), picked up in the first quarter.
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Economic Commentary
02.15.1992 |
EC 2/15/1992
In this political season, there are as many prescriptions being written for the economy as there are would-be healers.
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Economic Commentary
12.15.1991 |
EC 12/15/1991
The economy’s mixed performance in recent months has led to a growing perception that a recovery has not yet begun, or that its sustainability is threatened.
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Economic Commentary
08.01.1991 |
EC 8/1/1991
The latest economic indicators are signaling an end to the recession that began last July. According to most forecasters, a recovery has already begun, or is about to begin shortly.
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Economic Commentary
02.01.1991 |
EC 2/1/1991
The U.S. economy has been buffeted in the past few months by uncertainties surrounding the Persian Gulf War and its effects on crude oil supplies and by a strained financial sector domestically.
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Economic Commentary
12.01.1990 |
EC 12/1/1990
Business analysts should be aware that the survey of capital spending plans published by the U.S. Department of Commerce has several limitations as a forecast of quarterly and annual fixed investment.
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Economic Commentary
10.15.1990 |
EC 10/15/1990
The Fourth District Economists’ Roundtable met last month to discuss the economic outlook in the wake of the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait.
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Economic Commentary
06.15.1990 |
EC 6/15/1990
Forecasters attending the most recent Fourth District Economists’ Roundtable expect a stronger long-term growth path for the economy than experienced in past months, with brightened prospects for manufacturing following last year’s slowdown.
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Economic Commentary
03.01.1990 |
EC 3/1/1990
The consensus forecast among economists attending the most recent Fourth District Economists’ Roundtable calls for continuing slow growth well into 1990 followed by a more rapid growth in output by late this year.
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Economic Commentary
11.15.1989 |
EC 11/15/1989
While nearly everyone in attendance at a recent Fourth District Economists’ Roundtable agreed that the economy is in a cooling-off period that should last well into 1990, few predicted a recession.
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Economic Commentary
10.01.1989 |
EC 10/1/1989
The financial news media frequently point to the movement of the Composite Index of Leading Indicators (ILl) as proof of impending growth or contraction in economic activity.
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Economic Commentary
07.01.1989 |
EC 7/1/1989
A consensus forecast by 27 economists who met recently at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland calls for continued slow growth in output and a "soft landing" for the economy through 1990.
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Economic Commentary
11.15.1988 |
EC 11/15/1988
The U.S. trade deficit has been on an improving trend recently, largely due to changes in the exchange value of the dollar.
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Economic Commentary
03.01.1988 |
EC 3/15/1988
Despite a two-year deficit reduction plan, government projections for the five-year federal budget outlook still show large deficits.
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Economic Commentary
06.15.1987 |
EC 6/15/1987
The economy is in the fifth year of an expansion that has been characterized by a relatively moderate inflation rate, by moderate growth in output, and by the continuation of large trade and federal deficits.
