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Working Paper

U.S. Foreign-Exchange-Market Intervention during the Volcker-Greenspan Era

The Federal Reserve abandoned foreign-exchange-market intervention because it conflicted with the System’s commitment to price stability. By the early 1980s, economists generally concluded that, absent a portfolio-balance channel, sterilized foreign-exchange-market intervention did not provide central banks with a mechanism for systematically influencing exchange rates independent of their monetary policies. If intervention were to have anything other than a fleeting, hit-or-miss effect on exchange rates, monetary policy had to support it. Exchange rates, however, often responded to U.S. monetary-policy initiatives, so intervention to offset or reverse those exchange-rate responses can seem a contrary policy move and can create uncertainty about the strength of the System’s commitment to price stability. That the U.S. Treasury maintained primary responsibility for foreign-exchange intervention only compounded this uncertainty. In addition, many FOMC participants feared that swap drawings and warehousing could contravene the Congressional appropriations process and, therefore, potentially pose a threat to System independence, a necessary condition for monetary-policy credibility.

Suggested Citation

Bordo, Michael D., Owen F. Humpage, and Anna Schwartz. 2010. “U.S. Foreign-Exchange-Market Intervention during the Volcker-Greenspan Era .” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Working Paper No. 10-07. https://doi.org/10.26509/frbc-wp-201007