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Did the COVID-19 Pandemic Cause an Urban Exodus? Data Updates for Tables and Figures

08.26.21

The tables and figures in the brief “Did the COVID-19 Pandemic Cause an Urban Exodus?” have been updated with more recent data. The calculations of all migration estimates remain the same as those in the original data brief. Please read the original brief for a detailed description of the data and methods.

The tables and figures in the brief “Migrants from High-Cost, Large Metro Areas during the COVID-19 Pandemic, Their Destinations, and How Many Could Follow” have been updated with more recent data. The calculations of all migration estimates remain the same as those in the original data brief. Please read the original brief for a detailed description of the data and methods.

For additional closely related analyses, please see the following publications:

The views expressed in this report are those of the author and are not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland or the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

Headlines

  • Semiconductor Shortages and Vehicle Production and Prices

    Pawel Krolikowski Kristoph Naggert

    Vehicle production has fallen since the beginning of the pandemic recession. We investigate reasons for this decline. Manufacturers in this industry cite insufficient materials, including a lack of semiconductors, as increasingly responsible. Demand seems to be less of an issue. In fact, demand has been strong, and together with accelerating prices and sharply declining inventories, it suggests an insufficient supply of new cars. Our best guess is that the materials shortages and their effects on new car prices will subside within the next six to nine months. Read More

  • Why Has Durable Goods Spending Been So Strong during the COVID-19 Pandemic?

    Kristen Tauber Willem Van Zandweghe

    Consumers increased their purchases of durable goods notably during the COVID-19 pandemic. The pandemic may have lifted the demand for durable goods directly, by shifting consumer preferences away from services toward a variety of durable goods. It may also have stimulated spending on durable goods indirectly, by prompting a strong fiscal policy response that raised disposable income. We estimate the historical relationship between durable goods spending and income and find that income gains in 2020 accounted for about half of the increase in durable goods spending, indicating that the direct and indirect effects of the pandemic on durable goods spending were about equally important. Read More

  • Why Wasn’t there a Nonbank Mortgage Servicer Liquidity Crisis?

    Lara Loewenstein

    In March 2020, in the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic, many were concerned about the liquidity of nonbank mortgage servicers. As it turned out, the vast majority of these servicers did not face a liquidity crisis. In this Commentary I detail the reasons why, including lower than expected take up rates of forbearance, the role played by mortgage origination income, and the actions taken by the government-sponsored enterprises, Ginnie Mae, and housing agencies. Read More

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