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Working Paper

A Dynamic Analysis Of Recent Changes In The Rate Of Part-Time Employment

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The part-time employment rate has declined since the early 1980s, especially among females. This paper examines the decline over the 1980-1990 period, with a focus on the gender differential, using gross change data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Monthly transition rates between full-time employment, part-time employment, unemployment, and nonparticipation are estimated according to sex. Trend and cyclical analysis of the transition rates is conducted to identify the sources of part-time employment-rate trends and to explore gender differentials in them. The results suggest that the decline in the rate of parttime employment among females is not so much because unemployed females are more likely to move into full-time employment, but rather because females have become more likely to move from parttime to full-time employment and, most important, because theyhave become less likely to leave full-time employment once they get there.
12.01.1991ISSN 2573-7953 WP 91-20DOI 10.26509/frbc-wp-199120

Working Papers of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland are preliminary materials circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment on research in progress. They may not have been subject to the formal editorial review accorded official Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland publications. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not represent the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland or the Federal Reserve System.

Suggested Citation

Williams, Donald. 1991. “A Dynamic Analysis Of Recent Changes In The Rate Of Part-Time Employment.” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Working Paper No. 91-20. https://doi.org/10.26509/frbc-wp-199120