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Working Paper

A Regional Economic Forecasting Procedure Applied to Texas

A method for building a time series regional forecasting model is proposed and implemented for the state of Texas. The forecasting ability of this method is subjected to a number of diagnostic tests and is found to be useful. The method places little reliance on economic theory, is available to any regional economist with know1edge of ordinary least squares regression analysis, and provides insights into the regional economic process. This paper complements "Some Time Series Methods of Forecasting the Texas Economy," by Hoehn, Gruben, and Fomby, Working Paper No. 8402, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.

Working Papers of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland are preliminary materials circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment on research in progress. They may not have been subject to the formal editorial review accorded official Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland publications. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not represent the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland or the Federal Reserve System.


Suggested Citation

Hoehn, James. 1984. “A Regional Economic Forecasting Procedure Applied to Texas.” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Working Paper No. 84-02.