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Economic Commentary

Expected Inflation and TIPS

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When inflation-indexed Treasury securities were first introduced, economists hoped that they could be used to measure expected inflation easily. The only difference between securities that were indexed to inflation and those that were not was thought to be the extra compensation regular securities had to pay for what the market thought inflation would be. By now it is pretty clear that inflation-indexed Treasuries differ from regular securities in other ways that show up in the yields. This Commentary suggests what these are and discusses a method of correcting for them.

11.01.2004EC 11/1/2004

The views authors express in Economic Commentary are theirs and not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland or the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. The series editor is Tasia Hane. This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License. This paper and its data are subject to revision; please visit clevelandfed.org for updates.

Suggested Citation

Carlstrom, Charles T., and Timothy S. Fuerst. 2004. “Expected Inflation and TIPS.” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Economic Commentary 11/1/2004.

This work by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland is licensed under Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International