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A Regional Economic Forecasting Procedure Applied to Texas

A method for building a time series regional forecasting model is proposed and implemented for the state of Texas. The forecasting ability of this method is subjected to a number of diagnostic tests and is found to be useful. The method places 1ittle re1iance on economic theory, is avai1able to any regional economist with know1edge of ordinary 1east squares regression analysis, and provides insights into the regional economic process. This paper complements "Some Time Series Methods of Forecasting the Texas Economy," by Hoehn, Gruben, and Fomby, Working Paper No. 8402, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.

Suggested citation: Hoehn, James, 1984. “A Regional Economic Forecasting Procedure Applied to Texas,” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Working Paper no. 84-02.

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