National Economy and Monetary Policy

Business Cycles and Economic Growth

• The Optimal Taxation of Business Owners
• Has the Real-Time Reliability of Monthly Indicators Changed over Time?
• The Winners and Losers from Trade

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International Economies

• The Winners and Losers from Trade
• Goods-Market Frictions and International Trade
• On the Heterogeneous Welfare Gains and Losses from Trade

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Labor Markets

• Strong Recovery for Whom? Trends in Dayton, Ohio, and Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Exemplify Growing Earnings Gaps between Minority and White Workers Present in Many US Regions
• Opioids and the Labor Market
• Challenges with Estimating U Star in Real Time

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Modeling and Forecasting

• Has the Real-Time Reliability of Monthly Indicators Changed over Time?
• Asymptotically Valid Bootstrap Inference for Proxy SVARs
• A Closer Look at the Behavior of Uncertainty and Disagreement: Micro Evidence from the Euro Area

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Monetary Policy and Central Banking

• President Mester discusses need for FedNow in American Banker interview
• Forward Guidance under Imperfect Information: Instrument Based or State Contingent?
• President Mester sees businesses watching, waiting on global developments in Pittsburgh Post-Gazette interview

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Monetary Policy Resources

• Federal Funds Rates Based on Seven Simple Monetary Policy Rules

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