National Economy and Monetary Policy

Business Cycles and Economic Growth

• Research [in] Brief: Tax Cuts and Business Investment
• On the Importance of Household versus Firm Credit Frictions in the Great Recession
• Improving Epidemic Modeling with Networks

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International Economies

• On the Distributional Effects of International Tariffs
• The Winners and Losers from Trade
• Goods-Market Frictions and International Trade

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Labor Markets

• Short-Time Compensation: An Alternative to Layoffs during COVID-19
• Equality Is Not Enough: Reflections on the Paycheck Protection Program
• An Uphill Battle: COVID-19’s Outsized Toll on Minority-Owned Firms

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Modeling and Forecasting

• Does the Yield Curve Predict Output?
• Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era
• Nowcasting Tail Risks to Economic Activity with Many Indicators

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Monetary Policy and Central Banking

• Even Keel and the Great Inflation
• Fireside Chats: Communication and Consumers’ Expectations in the Great Depression
• President Mester discusses pandemic recovery needs in CNBC interview

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Monetary Policy Resources

• Federal Funds Rates Based on Seven Simple Monetary Policy Rules

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