National Economy and Monetary Policy

Business Cycles and Economic Growth

• The Real Effects of Monetary Shocks: Evidence from Micro Pricing Moments
• Welfare Implications of Asset Pricing Facts: Should Central Banks Fill Gaps or Remove Volatility?
• Optimal Epidemic Control in Equilibrium with Imperfect Testing and Enforcement

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International Economies

• Export-Led Decay: The Trade Channel in the Gold Standard Era
• On the Distributional Effects of International Tariffs
• The Winners and Losers from Trade

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Labor Markets

• IT and Urban Polarization
• Job Displacement and Job Mobility: The Role of Joblessness
• Missed Connections in Cleveland: The Disconnect Between Job Access and Employment

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Modeling and Forecasting

• Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility
• Forecasting with Shadow-Rate VARs
• Tail Forecasting with Multivariate Bayesian Additive Regression Trees

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Monetary Policy and Central Banking

• Average Inflation Targeting: Time Inconsistency And Intentional Ambiguity
• Job Displacement and Job Mobility: The Role of Joblessness
• President Mester discusses the economy and Fed's response to the COVID-19 pandemic

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Monetary Policy Resources

• Federal Funds Rates Based on Seven Simple Monetary Policy Rules

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