Robert Rich is the director of the Center for Inflation Research and a senior economic and policy advisor in the Research Department at the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Dr. Rich specializes in research related to macroeconomics and forecasting. He has published articles on a variety of topics, including the dynamics of price and wage inflation, the expectations formation process, the duration of labor contracts, the estimation of trend productivity growth, and coincident and leading indexes of regional economic activity.
Before joining the Bank in 2018, Dr. Rich was an assistant vice president in the Research Department at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, where he served as a founding editor and contributor to Liberty Street Economics, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s blog, and as the editor of US Economy in a Snapshot, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s monthly update of economic and financial developments. Prior to joining the New York Fed, he was an assistant professor of economics at Vanderbilt University.
Dr. Rich holds a BA from Fordham University, an MA from Northwestern University, and a PhD from Brown University, all in economics. He is married and is the father of a twin boy and girl.
“The Measurement and Behavior of Uncertainty: Evidence from the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters.” With Joshua Abel, Joseph Song, and Joseph Tracy. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2016, (April–May): 533–550.
“Tracking the New Economy: Using Growth Theory to Identify Changes in Trend Productivity.” With James A. Kahn. Journal of Monetary Economics, 2007 (September): 1670–1701.
“Structural Estimates of the US Sacrifice Ratio.” With Stephen Cecchetti. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 2001, 19(4): 416–427. Discussed in Econometric Analysis, 5th Edition, edited by William H. Greene, 596–602, 2003.
“Oil and the Macroeconomy: A Markov State-Switching Approach.” With Jennie E. Raymond. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, 1997 (May): 193–213.