When the dollar depreciates in the foreign exchange market, Americans must pay more for foreign goods. Although the price effects of exchange-rate changes can ripple through standard price indexes, under no circumstances can a dollar depreciation cuse inflation.
Suggested citation: “Exchange Rates and Inflation,” Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Economic Trends, no. 96-11, pp. 11, 11.01.1996.
When living on the “wrong” side of a road can make a world of a difference, the proactive and hyper-local work of community development practitioners is essential for sparking change.
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How can we minimize the barriers that trap people in the cycle of poverty? The answer, at least in part, is a combination of providing access to resources and transportation.
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This Commentary builds on recent research separating the components of overall inflation into cyclical and
acyclical categories, but it does so at a finer level of disaggregation than previous analyses to understand recent inflation developments in the two categories. The inflation rate among cyclically sensitive subcomponents, which comprise roughly 40 percent of overall core PCE inflation, has generally continued to firm in recent years in line with a strengthening labor market and has returned to near pre-Great Recession levels. By contrast, the inflation rate among the acyclical subcomponents remains subdued. A modest firming in acyclical core PCE inflation to a more normal level, combined with ongoing strength in the labor market, would be enough to return core PCE inflation to 2 percent within approximately one year.
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The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland and the Office of Financial Research will hold the 2019 Financial Stability conference on November 21-22, 2019, in Cleveland, OH.
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