Trends Archive

Monthly Trends Issue

2010

March 2010
February 2010
January 2010

2009

December 2009
November 2009
October 2009
September 2009
August 2009
July 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009

2008

December 2008
November 2008
October 2008
September 2008
August 2008
July 2008
June 2008
May 2008
April 2008
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February 2008
January 2008

2007

December 2007
November 2007
October 2007
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August 2007
July 2007
June 2007
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April 2007
March 2007
February 2007
January 2007

Economic Trends Archive

Banking and Financial Institutions

Commercial Bank Lending
An Update on Banks’ Commercial Real Estate Exposure
Supply and Demand Shocks in Residential Mortgages
The Availability and Profitability of Credit Cards
Bank Lending, Capital, Booms, and Busts
Bank Exposure to Commercial Real Estate
The Credit Environment for Business Loans
How Realistic Were the Economic Forecasts Used in the Stress Tests?
Fourth District Bank Holding Companies
FDIC Funds
The Changing Face of Consumer Finance
Fourth District Community Banks
Business Loan Markets
Housing and the Banking Industry
Fourth District Bank Holding Company Conditions
Business Loan Markets
FDIC Funds
Fourth District Bank Holding Companies
Banking Structure
Business Loan Markets
Fourth District Community Banks
Fourth District Community Banks
Business Loan Markets
Mortgage Lending
Fourth District Bank Holding Companies
Fourth District Community Banks
Business Loan Markets
Foreign Banks in the United States
Fourth District Bank Holding Companies
Fourth District Community Banks
Business Loan Markets
FDIC Funds
A Close Look at Fourth District Bank Holding Companies
A Close Look at Fourth District Community Banks
Banking Structure
Business Loan Markets
Fourth District Banking Conditions

Economic Conditions

Private Nonresidential Construction Investment
Gross Domestic Product Growth across States

Economic Growth

Differences in Educational Attainment across States
Real Income Growth across Metropolitan Areas
Patent Trends in the Fourth District
The Erie Metropolitan Statistical Area
Business Establishments
The Cincinnati Metropolitan Statistical Area
Fourth District Employment Conditions, August
Poverty and Income in the Fourth District
Regional Patenting Activity
State Per Capita Personal Income

Economy in Perspective

That Giant Sucking Sound
This Old House
Air Supply
Living in a World of Contingency...
Grist for the mill...
Housing Haikus?
Tick Tock
Same numbers, different stories?
The more things change, the more they stay the same
Homeownership at any price
Liquidity
Worry is interest paid on trouble before it falls due
Economic Trends in Perspective

Education

Differences in Educational Attainment across States

Financial Markets, Money, and Monetary Policy

Signs of Abating Default Risk
The Yield Curve, February 2010
The Beginnings of Normalcy
A Sign of Normalization
What Is the Yield Curve Telling Us?...And Should We Have Listened?
Treasury Deposits and Excess Bank Reserves
The Yield Curve, December 2009
An Update on the High-Yield Corporate Bond Spread and Economic Activity
The Yield Curve, November 2009
Economic Projections from the November FOMC Meeting
Inflation and Inflation Expectations
The High-Yield Corporate Bond Spread and Economic Activity
The Yield Curve, October 2009
The Supplemental Financing Program
The Yield Curve, September 2009
The Policy Statement: A Slowdown of Asset Purchases
The Changing Composition of the Fed’s Balance Sheet
The Yield Curve, August 2009
The Yield Curve, July 2009
Implementing Long-Term Security Purchases
Economic Projections from the June FOMC Meeting
Consumer Credit Markets
A Global Fiscal Crisis?
The Yield Curve, June 2009
Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy
The Yield Curve, May 2009
The Yield Curve, April 2009
New Policy Moves and the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility
The Yield Curve, March 2009
The Impact of Credit Easing So Far
The Yield Curve, February 2009
Economic Projections from the January FOMC Meeting
Credit Easing: A Policy for a Time of Financial Crisis
The Yield Curve, January 2009
A Focus on Quantitative Easing
The Yield Curve, December 2008
The Yield Curve, November 2008
More Measures Introduced to Help Financial Markets
The Yield Curve, October 2008
The Yield Curve, September 2008
Staying the Course
The Yield Curve, August 2008
Another Steady Rate Decision
The Yield Curve, July 2008
Steady on Policy Rate, but Alert to Inflationary Pressures
The Yield Curve, June 2008
The Yield Curve, May 2008
Supplying Liquidity: The Tried and True and the New
The Yield Curve, April 2008
Down Another Seventy-Five
The Yield Curve, March 2008
The Yield Curve, February 2008
Another Move, but with Less Surprise
The Yield Curve, January 2008
Providing Liquidity
The Funds Rate, Liquidity, and the Term Auction Facility
Dollar Depreciations and Inflation
Trade and the Dollar
The Yield Curve, November 2007
Mortgage Lending
Is It the Best of Times or the Worst?
Financial Markets: Settling but Cautious
Third-Quarter GDP
The Yield Curve, October, 2007
The Well-Anticipated Rate Cut
Jumbo Mortgages and Mortgage Market Conditions
Reserve Market Rates and Discount Window Lending
Household Financial Conditions
The Yield Curve, September 2007
The Long-Anticipated Rate Cut
The Yield Curve, August 2007
A Step Towards Neutral
When Did Inflation Persistence Change?
The Yield Curve, July 2007
Assessing New Information: What’s Permanent, What’s Not?
Monetary Policy: What’s in a Few Words?
The Yield Curve, June 2007
Monetary Policy: Holding Steady
Household Financial Conditions
The Yield Curve, May 2007
Monetary Policy: No Surprise Here
Monetary Policy in the United States, the Euro Area, and Japan
The Yield Curve, April 2007
Home Prices
Monetary Policy: A Statement of Confidence?
The Yield Curve, March 2007
Is Inflation Changing Its Ways?
The January 31 FOMC Meeting
The Yield Curve, February 2007
Monetary Policy Stays Put
Monetary Aggregates
The Yield Curve, January 2007
Market Expectations of Policy Rates
Interest Rates, Yields, Outstanding Debt, and Consumer Attitudes
The Yield Curve, December 2006

Foreclosure

Foreclosures in Ohio

Housing

Is the Housing Bust Over?
The Latest S&P Case-Shiller Housing Price Indexes
Housing Values
Mortgage Delinquencies in Fourth District Metropolitan Areas
Midwest Housing Markets

Inflation and Prices

January Price Statistics or the Definition of “Subdued”
December Price Statistics
November Price Statistics
Measures of Economic Slack, Cost Pressure, and Inflation
October Price Statistics
Inflation and Inflation Expectations
September Price Statistics
August Price Statistics
July Price Statistics
June Price Statistics
May Price Statistics
Putting the Current Recession in Perspective
April Price Statistics
March Price Statistics
February Price Statistics
The Recent Increase in the Volatility of Economic Indicators
January Price Statistics
December Price Statistics
November Price Statistics
October Price Statistics
September Price Statistics
August Price Statistics
July Price Statistics
June Price Statistics
May Price Statistics
April Price Statistics
March Price Statistics
February Price Statistics
January Price Statistics
December Price Statistics
Dollar Depreciations and Inflation
September Price Statistics
August Price Statistics
July Price Statistics
June Price Statistics
May Price Statistics
April Price Statistics
March Price Statistics
February Price Statistics
January Price Statistics
Is Inflation Changing Its Ways?
The Cost of Labor as an Inflation Indicator
December Price Statistics
Inflation Expectations
Trimmed Mean CPI Inflation
November Price Statistics

International Markets and Foreign Exchange

Euro Problems
Imports and Economic Growth
The Dollar Carry Trade
Renminbi-Dollar Peg Once Again
Purchasing Power Parity and the Dollar
With the Dollar Depreciating, Can Inflation Be Far Behind?
Borrow Less, Owe More: The U.S. Net International Investment Position
Signs of a Thaw?
A Global Fiscal Crisis?
Savings Glut or Domestic Demand?
Mighty Bad Recessions
China, SDRs, and the Dollar
Renminbi 101
Weaker Still
The Ups and Downs of Current-Account Deficits
Japan’s Quantitative Easing Policy
Financial Turmoil and Global Growth
Swap Lines
Global Developments in the Economic Outlook
The Net International Investment Position
Why Hasn’t the United States Intervened?
Exchange–Rate Pass–Through to Import Prices
Bifurcation?
Should the Fed Prop Up the Buck?
Are We Importing Inflation?
Chinese Inflation and the Renminbi
Monetary Policy and the Dollar?s Depreciation
Dollar Depreciations and Inflation
Trade and the Dollar
Is It the Best of Times or the Worst?
Head'n South
U.S. International Investment Position
The Dollar’s Depreciation and Inflation
Sovereign Wealth Funds
Is Foreign Exchange Intervention a Good Idea?
Do Workers Benefit from Globalization?
Deficits and the Dollar
Asian Reserves
Will the Euro Supplant the Dollar?
China s Economy
Japanese Monetary Policy
The Yen Carry Trade
Current Account Sustainability

Labor Markets, Unemployment, and Wages

Ohio’s Labor Market Cycles
The Employment Situation, January
Fourth District Employment Conditions, December 2009
The Employment Situation, December
Fourth District Employment Conditions, November
The Employment Situation
Fourth District Employment Conditions
Ohio’s Economic Momentum
Economic Projections from the November FOMC Meeting
The Employment Situation, October 2009
Fourth District Employment Conditions, September 2009
Alternative Measures of the Unemployment Rate
The Employment Situation, September 2009
Fourth District Employment Condtions, August 2009
Pittsburgh's Labor Market Performance over the Recession
The Employment Situation, August 2009
Fourth District Employment Conditions
The Incidence and Duration of Unemployment over the Business Cycle
The Employment Situation, July 2009
Fourth District Employment Conditions, June 2009
Fourth District Employment Conditions, May 2009
The Employment Situation, June 2009
Fourth District Employment Conditions, April 2009
The Employment Situation, May 2009
The Labor Market in this Downturn: A Historical Comparison
Putting the Current Recession in Perspective
Regional Labor Market Recessions and Recoveries
The Employment Situation, April 2009
Involuntary Part-Time Workers and the Deficiencies of the Unemployment Rate
Fourth District Employment Conditions, February 2009
The Employment Situation, March 2009
Employment Loss in Ohio's Manufacturing Industry
Fourth District Employment Conditions, January 2009
The Employment Situation, February 2009
Fourth District Employment Conditions, December 2008
The Employment Situation, January 2009
Ohio's Local Labor Markets
Labor Turnover
The Employment Situation, December 2008
Ohio's Business Cycle
Fourth District Employment Conditions, November 2008
Labor Costs
Fourth District Employment Conditions, October 2008
The Employment Situation, November 2008
Fourth District Employment Conditions, September
The Employment Situation, October 2008
Comparing Current Payroll Employment Changes with Past Recessions
Fourth District Employment Conditions, August
The Employment Situation, September 2008
Trend Unemployment and What It Says about Unemployment Patterns
Fourth District Employment Conditions, July
The Employment Situation, August
State Labor Markets
Aggregate Labor Force Participation
Fourth District Employment Conditions, June
The Employment Situation, July
Will We Have Another “Jobless” Recovery?
Fourth District Employment Conditions, May
The Employment Situation, June
Just When Did the Labor Market Begin to Soften?
Real Income Growth across Metropolitan Areas
The Employment Situation, May
Labor Turnover and Employment in Different U.S. Regions
Fourth District Employment Conditions, March
Gender Differences in Employment Statistics
Fourth District Employment Conditions, February
Fourth District Employment Conditions, January
The Employment Situation, March
Does the Recent Trend in Labor Demand Presage Recession?
Preliminary Employment Data Might Miss a Recession Onset
Labor Force Participation in the United States and Ohio
Fourth District Employment Conditions, December
The Employment Situation, January
The Ups and Downs in Regional Employment Statistics
Manufacturing Employment
The Employment Situation, December
Fourth District Employment Conditions, October
The Employment Situation, November
Fourth District Employment Conditions, September
Women in the Labor Force
The Employment Situation, October
Union Membership
The Cincinnati Metropolitan Statistical Area
Fourth District Employment Conditions, August
The Employment Situation, September
Labor Turnover
Fourth District Employment Conditions, July
The Employment Situation, August
Revisions to the Employment Report
Younger Workers and Summertime Employment
Fourth District Employment Conditions, June
The Employment Situation, July
How Do Americans Spend Their Time?
Fourth District Employment Conditions, May
The Employment Situation, June
Employment and Firm Size over the Business Cycle
Fourth District Employment Conditions, April
Manufacturing Employment
The Employment Situation, May
The Youngest Baby Boomers’ Experience in the Labor Market
Fourth District Employment Conditions, March
The Employment Situation, April
Fourth District Employment Conditions, February
Employment Flows and Firm Size
Labor Costs
Fourth District Employment Conditions, January
The Employment Situation, March
Minimum Wage Earners
Construction Activity and Employment
Women in the Workforce
The Employment Situation, February
The ADP National Employment Report
Job Creation and Job Destruction
Extended Mass Layoffs
The Metal Working Industry
Employment during the Recovery
The Employment Situation, January
Fourth District Employment Conditions, December
Employment Cost Index
Job-to-Job Movers
Fourth District Employment Conditions, November
The Employment Situation, December
Labor Turnover

Manufacturing

The Erie Metropolitan Statistical Area
The Metal Working Industry
Ohio s Automobile Industry

Metropolitan Area Profile

The Columbus Metropolitan Statistical Area
The Erie Metropolitan Statistical Area
The Cleveland Metropolitan Statistical Area
The Pittsburgh Metropolitan Statistical Area
The Akron Metropolitan Statistical Area

Trade

Ohio Exports

US Economy

January Price Statistics or the Definition of “Subdued”
Signs of Abating Default Risk
Economic Projections from the January FOMC Meeting
Real GDP: Fourth-Quarter 2009 Advance Estimate
What Is the Yield Curve Telling Us?...And Should We Have Listened?
December Price Statistics
Fourth District Employment Conditions, November
Real GDP: Third-Quarter 2009 Third Estimate
The Yield Curve, December 2009
November Price Statistics
An Update on the High-Yield Corporate Bond Spread and Economic Activity
Supply and Demand Shocks in Residential Mortgages
The Employment Situation
Fourth District Employment Conditions
Ohio’s Economic Momentum
Measures of Economic Slack, Cost Pressure, and Inflation
The Yield Curve, November 2009
Real GDP: Third-Quarter 2009 Second Estimate
Economic Projections from the November FOMC Meeting
October Price Statistics
The High-Yield Corporate Bond Spread and Economic Activity
Real GDP: Third-Quarter 2009 Advance Estimate
Do Shipping Volumes Signal an End of the Recession?
The Effects of “Cash for Clunkers” on the Auto Industry
Real GDP: Second-Quarter 2009 Final Estimate
Pittsburgh's Labor Market Performance over the Recession
The Yield Curve, September 2009
Recent Forecasts of Government Debt
Real GDP: Second-Quarter 2009 Revised Estimate
Bank Exposure to Commercial Real Estate
Real GDP: Second-Quarter 2009 Advance Estimate and Comprehensive Benchmark Revision
Private Nonresidential Construction Investment
Fourth District Employment Conditions, June 2009
Implementing Long-Term Security Purchases
Productivity in the Recession and Going Forward
Economic Projections from the June FOMC Meeting
Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy
Real GDP: First-Quarter 2009 Final Estimate
A Global Fiscal Crisis?
Improving Financial Market Conditions and Economic Recovery
Real GDP: First-Quarter 2009 Preliminary Estimate
Putting the Current Recession in Perspective
The Credit Environment for Business Loans
The Yield Curve, May 2009
Economic Projections from the April FOMC Meeting
How Realistic Were the Economic Forecasts Used in the Stress Tests?
Is the Housing Bust Over?
Mighty Bad Recessions
The Changing Composition of Consumption
Real GDP: First-Quarter 2009 Advance Estimate
Fourth District Employment Conditions, March 2009
An Overview of the Healthcare System
U.S. Real Estate: Looking for Progress in Price Stability and Financing
Real GDP: Fourth-Quarter 2008 Final Estimate
Real GDP: Fourth-Quarter 2008 Preliminary Estimate
The Latest S&P Case-Shiller Housing Price Indexes
The Recent Increase in the Volatility of Economic Indicators
The U.S. Auto Industry
Economic Projections from the January FOMC Meeting
Real GDP: Fourth-Quarter 2008 Advance Estimate
Dating a Recession and Predicting its Demise
Real GDP: Third-Quarter Final Estimate
The Ups and Downs of Current-Account Deficits
Metro-Area Differences in House Price Indexes
Japan’s Quantitative Easing Policy
GDP: Third-Quarter Preliminary Estimate
Industrial Production, Commodity Prices, and the Baltic Dry Index
Trends in the Components in Real GDP
GDP: Third-Quarter Advance Estimate
What Exactly Is a Recession—and Are We in One?
Housing and the Banking Industry
Cracks in the Real Economy
Second-Quarter GDP, Final Revision
Do Oil Prices Directly Affect the Stock Market?
Second-Quarter GDP Preliminary Revision: Onward and Upward?
Update on the Housing Market
Real GDP: Second–Quarter Advance Estimate and Benchmark Revisions
Will We Have Another “Jobless” Recovery?
Fourth District Employment Conditions, May
The Employment Situation, June
First Quarter Real GDP: Final Estimate
Housing Values
Where’s the Spillover from Housing?
Real GDP First-Quarter 2008 Preliminary Estimate
The Employment Situation, April
Real GDP 2008:Q1 Advance Estimate
What Interest Rate Spreads Can Tell Us about Mortgage Markets
Mortgage Delinquencies in Fourth District Metropolitan Areas
Recession: Are We or Aren't We?
Real GDP: Fourth-Quarter 2007 Final Estimate
Does the Recent Trend in Labor Demand Presage Recession?
Preliminary Employment Data Might Miss a Recession Onset
Home Price Indexes
Housing Doldrums
The Employment Situation, February
Real GDP 2007: Fourth-Quarter Preliminary Estimate
The Pass-through of Oil Prices to Gasoline Prices
Real GDP Fourth-Quarter 2007 Advance Estimate
Housing Markets
A Review of the Latest Business Cycle
Third-Quarter 2007 Final GDP
Business Establishments
The Housing Market
Third-Quarter Preliminary GDP Release
Women in the Labor Force
Housing Cycles
Union Membership
Financial Markets: Settling but Cautious
Third-Quarter GDP
Jumbo Mortgages and Mortgage Market Conditions
Who Cares about the Housing Market?
The Near-Term Economic Outlook
Housing Markets
Real GDP: Preliminary Estimate
The Advance Real GDP Report
Housing
Technology Investment
Real GDP Growth
Home Prices
Business Investment
Subprime Statistics
Household Wealth and Consumption
A Tale of Two Houses
A Mixed Message on Manufacturing
Is Manufacturing Going the Way of Agriculture?
The Budget and Economic Outlook
High-Technology Manufacturing
Industrial Production Closes 2006 in Fine Form
Some Say Housing Numbers Encouraging
New Cities Added to Case-Shiller Home Price Indices
ISM Report on Business Activity
Housing
Durable Goods Orders and Personal Income and Consumption Reports
Revisions to Real GDP

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