Trends Archive

Monthly Trends Issue

2012

January 2012 (PDF)

2011

December 2011 (PDF)
November 2011 (PDF)
October 2011 (PDF)
September 2011 (PDF)
August 2011 (PDF)
July 2011 (PDF)
June 2011 (PDF)
May 2011 (PDF)
April 2011 (PDF)
March 2011 (PDF)
February 2011 (PDF)
January 2011 (PDF)

2010

December 2010 (PDF)
November 2010 (PDF)
October 2010 (PDF)
September 2010 (PDF)
August 2010 (PDF)
July 2010 (PDF)
June 2010 (PDF)
May 2010 (PDF)
April 2010 (PDF)
March 2010 (PDF)
February 2010 (PDF)
January 2010 (PDF)

2009

December 2009 (PDF)
November 2009 (PDF)
October 2009 (PDF)
September 2009 (PDF)
August 2009 (PDF)
July 2009 (PDF)
June 2009 (PDF)
May 2009 (PDF)
April 2009 (PDF)
March 2009 (PDF)
February 2009 (PDF)
January 2009 (PDF)

2008

December 2008 (PDF)
November 2008 (PDF)
October 2008 (PDF)
September 2008 (PDF)
August 2008 (PDF)
July 2008 (PDF)
June 2008 (PDF)
May 2008 (PDF)
April 2008 (PDF)
March 2008 (PDF)
February 2008 (PDF)
January 2008 (PDF)

2007

December 2007 (PDF)
November 2007 (PDF)
October 2007 (PDF)
September 2007 (PDF)
August 2007 (PDF)
July 2007 (PDF)
June 2007 (PDF)
May 2007 (PDF)
April 2007 (PDF)
March 2007 (PDF)
February 2007 (PDF)
January 2007 (PDF)

Economic Trends Archive

Banking and Financial Markets

Loans and Leases in Bank Credit
Are Consumers More Eager to Borrow?
The Health of Federally-Insured Credit Unions
Mortgage Market Struggles to Gain Footing
The Yield Curve and Projected GDP Growth, November 2011
Sovereign Debt Implications on the European Banking System
The Yield Curve and Projected GDP Growth, October 2011
The Yield Curve and Projected GDP Growth, September 2011
A Slow Recovery in the Banking Sector
The Yield Curve and Projected GDP Growth, August 2011
Mortgage Market Continues to Struggle
Household Finances
Has the Over-the-Counter Derivatives Market Revived Yet?
Global Banking System Exposure to the Greek Sovereign Debt Crisis
The Yield Curve and Projected GDP Growth, July 2011
The Yield Curve and Projected GDP Growth, June 2011
Small Business Lending Continues to Struggle
Mortgage Originations Struggle to Stay Afloat
The Yield Curve and Economic Growth, May 2011
The Yield Curve and Economic Growth, April 2011
The Federal Reserve’s Influence over Excess Reserves
Bank Lending
The Yield Curve and Economic Growth, March 2011
Mortgage Originations—A Mixed Bag
The Yield Curve and Economic Growth, February 2011
Loans and Leases in Bank Credit
The Yield Curve and Predicted GDP Growth, January 2011
The Yield Curve and Predicted GDP Growth, December 2010
Continued Weakness in Small Business Lending
Mortgage Borrowers Deleverage
The Yield Curve and Predicted GDP Growth, November 2010
The Yield Curve and Predicted GDP Growth, October 2010
The Yield Curve and Predicted GDP Growth, September 2010
Federal Home Loan Banks: The Housing GSE That Didn’t Bark in the Night?
The Yield Curve, August 2010
Where Does the Mortgage Market Go from Here?
The Yield Curve, July 2010
Bank Executive Pay
Current Banking Conditions, FDIC-Insured Institutions
The Yield Curve, May 2010
Has the Mortgage Market Run Out of Steam?
The Yield Curve, April 2010
The Credit Crunch in Commercial Loan Syndication
Commercial Bank Lending
Signs of Abating Default Risk
The Yield Curve, February 2010
Seriously Delinquent Mortgages in the Fourth District
What Is the Yield Curve Telling Us?...And Should We Have Listened?
An Update on Banks' Commercial Real Estate Exposure
The Yield Curve, December 2009
An Update on the High-Yield Corporate Bond Spread and Economic Activity
Supply and Demand Shocks in Residential Mortgages
The Yield Curve, November 2009
The High-Yield Corporate Bond Spread and Economic Activity
The Yield Curve, October 2009
The Availability and Profitability of Credit Cards
The Yield Curve, September 2009
The Yield Curve, August 2009
Bank Lending, Capital, Booms, and Busts
Bank Exposure to Commercial Real Estate
The Yield Curve, July 2009
Consumer Credit Markets
The Yield Curve, June 2009
The Credit Environment for Business Loans
The Yield Curve, May 2009
How Realistic Were the Economic Forecasts Used in the Stress Tests?
The Yield Curve, April 2009
Fourth District Bank Holding Companies
The Yield Curve, March 2009
FDIC Funds
The Yield Curve, February 2009
The Yield Curve, January 2009
The Changing Face of Consumer Finance
The Yield Curve, December 2008
Fourth District Community Banks
The Yield Curve, November 2008
Business Loan Markets
More Measures Introduced to Help Financial Markets
The Yield Curve, October 2008
Housing and the Banking Industry
The Yield Curve, September 2008
The Yield Curve, August 2008
Fourth District Bank Holding Company Conditions
The Yield Curve, July 2008
The Yield Curve, June 2008
Business Loan Markets
FDIC Funds
The Yield Curve, May 2008
Fourth District Bank Holding Companies
The Yield Curve, April 2008
The Yield Curve, March 2008
Banking Structure
Business Loan Markets
The Yield Curve, February 2008
The Yield Curve, January 2008
Fourth District Community Banks
The Funds Rate, Liquidity, and the Term Auction Facility
The Yield Curve, November 2007
Business Loan Markets
Mortgage Lending
Financial Markets: Settling but Cautious
The Yield Curve, October, 2007
Jumbo Mortgages and Mortgage Market Conditions
Reserve Market Rates and Discount Window Lending
The Yield Curve, September 2007
The Yield Curve, August 2007
The Yield Curve, July 2007
The Yield Curve, June 2007
The Yield Curve, May 2007
The Yield Curve, April 2007
FDIC Funds
The Yield Curve, March 2007
The Yield Curve, February 2007
Banking Structure
Business Loan Markets
The Yield Curve, January 2007
Market Expectations of Policy Rates
Interest Rates, Yields, Outstanding Debt, and Consumer Attitudes
The Yield Curve, December 2006
Fourth District Banking Conditions

Economic Conditions

A Cash Buildup and Business Investment
Private Nonresidential Construction Investment
Gross Domestic Product Growth across States

Economic Growth

Differences in Educational Attainment across States
Real Income Growth across Metropolitan Areas
Patent Trends in the Fourth District
The Erie Metropolitan Statistical Area
Business Establishments
The Cincinnati Metropolitan Statistical Area
Fourth District Employment Conditions, August
Poverty and Income in the Fourth District
Regional Patenting Activity
State Per Capita Personal Income

Economy in Perspective

That Giant Sucking Sound
This Old House
Air Supply
Living in a World of Contingency...
Grist for the mill...
Housing Haikus?
Tick Tock
Same numbers, different stories?
The more things change, the more they stay the same
Homeownership at any price
Liquidity
Worry is interest paid on trouble before it falls due
Economic Trends in Perspective

Education

Differences in Educational Attainment across States

Financial Stability

Bank Executive Pay
How Realistic Were the Economic Forecasts Used in the Stress Tests?

Foreclosure

Foreclosures in Ohio

Government Finance

State Revenue Declines in the Fourth District

Growth and Production

Behind the Decline in Labor’s Share of Income
Consumption Taking Longer to Respond to Downturns in GDP
Why Some European Countries and Not the U.S.?
Weak Wage and Income Growth Is Holding Consumption Back
The Global Slowdown and Central Banks’ Responses
Interpreting the Recent Slowdown: Delayed Recovery or Stall Speed?
Why Is Investment So Soft?
Is the U.S. Labor Market Becoming More Sclerotic? And Does It Matter?
Investment in Structures Is Still Depressed
Just an Oily Patch on the Road to Recovery?
Fourth-Quarter GDP Growth and a Look Forward
Household and Corporate Balance Sheets
Is Consumer Spending Really “Driving” the Recovery?
Commodity Prices and Investment in Structures
The Balance Sheet Recovery
Theoretically, How Long Is This Recovery Supposed to Take Anyway?
The 2000s: A Slow Start to the 21st Century
Households’ Balance Sheets and the Recovery
Bank Loans: Still Contracting
Three Headwinds on the Current Recovery
The Recovery So Far
The Yield Curve, February 2010
Economic Projections from the January FOMC Meeting
Real GDP: Fourth-Quarter 2009 Advance Estimate
Imports and Economic Growth
What Is the Yield Curve Telling Us?...And Should We Have Listened?
Real GDP: Third-Quarter 2009 Third Estimate
The Yield Curve, December 2009
An Update on the High-Yield Corporate Bond Spread and Economic Activity
Measures of Economic Slack, Cost Pressure, and Inflation
Third-Quarter GDP

Households and Consumers

Household Financial Position
Recent Trends in Neighborhood Poverty
Household Debt
Government Support for Households Amplifies Tradeoff
Recent Changes in the Relationship between Education and Male Labor Market Outcomes
The Mysterious Boost in State Tax Revenues
Neighborhood Poverty Rates between 1970 and 2000
Household Finances and a Sustainable Consumer Recovery
The Cost of Food and Energy across Consumers
Educational Attainment and Employment
Household Financial Position
Trends in Household Income over the Past Decade
Foreclosures in Ohio
Recent Changes in Household Net Worth
The Homebuyer Tax Credit
Recession Shrinks State and Local Governments
Household Finances and a Sustainable Recovery
Personal Savings Up, National Savings Down
Supply and Demand Shocks in Residential Mortgages
The High-Yield Corporate Bond Spread and Economic Activity
The Changing Face of Consumer Finance
Household Financial Conditions
Household Financial Conditions
Home Prices

Housing

Is the Housing Bust Over?
The Latest S&P Case-Shiller Housing Price Indexes
Housing Values
Mortgage Delinquencies in Fourth District Metropolitan Areas
Midwest Housing Markets

Inflation and Prices

Short- and Long-term Inflation Expectations
Inflation Takes a Breather…
Inflation in Developed Countries
Recent Employment Cost Index Estimates
Market-Based Inflation Expectations Reflect No Fear of Inflation in the Medium and Long-Term
Core Prices Edge Up in July
A Few Bad Apples Spoil June’s Price Statistics
Short- and Long-term Inflation Expectations
Wages, Expectations, and Prospects for Inflation
Recent Developments in Inflation Expectations
What to Make of Rising Gas Prices and Falling Household Energy Prices
Some Prices Are Up, but Is That Inflation?
The Accuracy of CPI Inflation Forecasts
Inflation Swaps
What’s Up with the Gap between the Core PCE and the Core CPI?
Recent Developments in Inflation Expectations
Inflation: Soft but Stable?
Recent Developments in Prices and Inflation Expectations
Getting a Clear Signal on Inflation
Economic Projections from the April FOMC Meeting
Prices are Falling, Prices are Falling!
Survey-Based Measures of Inflation Expectations
January Price Statistics or the Definition of "Subdued"
Economic Projections from the January FOMC Meeting
December Price Statistics
November Price Statistics
Measures of Economic Slack, Cost Pressure, and Inflation
October Price Statistics
September Price Statistics
August Price Statistics
July Price Statistics
June Price Statistics
May Price Statistics
Putting the Current Recession in Perspective
April Price Statistics
March Price Statistics
February Price Statistics
The Recent Increase in the Volatility of Economic Indicators
January Price Statistics
December Price Statistics
November Price Statistics
October Price Statistics
September Price Statistics
August Price Statistics
July Price Statistics
June Price Statistics
May Price Statistics
April Price Statistics
March Price Statistics
February Price Statistics
January Price Statistics
December Price Statistics
Dollar Depreciations and Inflation
September Price Statistics
August Price Statistics
July Price Statistics
June Price Statistics
May Price Statistics
April Price Statistics
March Price Statistics
February Price Statistics
January Price Statistics
Is Inflation Changing Its Ways?
The Cost of Labor as an Inflation Indicator
December Price Statistics
Inflation Expectations
Trimmed Mean CPI Inflation
November Price Statistics

International Markets and Foreign Exchange

Pass-Through and the Renminbi’s Appreciation
The Net International Investment Position
China’s Inflation
Foreign-Exchange Trading and the Dollar
Out of Whack—the Renminbi
Renminbi Peg: On Again, Off Again
Global Imbalances
Euro Problems
Imports and Economic Growth
The Dollar Carry Trade
Renminbi-Dollar Peg Once Again
Purchasing Power Parity and the Dollar
With the Dollar Depreciating, Can Inflation Be Far Behind?
Borrow Less, Owe More: The U.S. Net International Investment Position
Signs of a Thaw?
A Global Fiscal Crisis?
Savings Glut or Domestic Demand?
Mighty Bad Recessions
China, SDRs, and the Dollar
Renminbi 101
Weaker Still
The Ups and Downs of Current-Account Deficits
Japan’s Quantitative Easing Policy
Financial Turmoil and Global Growth
Swap Lines
Global Developments in the Economic Outlook
The Net International Investment Position
Why Hasn’t the United States Intervened?
Exchange–Rate Pass–Through to Import Prices
Bifurcation?
Should the Fed Prop Up the Buck?
Are We Importing Inflation?
Chinese Inflation and the Renminbi
Monetary Policy and the Dollar?s Depreciation
Dollar Depreciations and Inflation
Trade and the Dollar
Is It the Best of Times or the Worst?
Head'n South
U.S. International Investment Position
The Dollar’s Depreciation and Inflation
Sovereign Wealth Funds
Is Foreign Exchange Intervention a Good Idea?
Do Workers Benefit from Globalization?
Monetary Policy in the United States, the Euro Area, and Japan
Deficits and the Dollar
Asian Reserves
Will the Euro Supplant the Dollar?
China s Economy
Japanese Monetary Policy
The Yen Carry Trade
Current Account Sustainability

Labor Markets, Unemployment, and Wages

Job Creation by Small and Large Firms over the Business Cycle
Some Improvement in the Labor Market
Emergency Unemployment Compensation and Long-term Unemployment
Incomes Are Down, Poverty Is Up
Treading Water
Labor Market not So Anomalous After All
Are Underemployed Graduates Displacing Nongraduates?
Manufacturing Hours and Employment in the Recovery
What's Up with the Unemployment Rate?
Growing Cities, Shrinking Cities
The U.S. Labor Market Experience in a Global Context
Who Is Driving the Decline in the Labor Force Participation Rate?
Fourth District Employment Conditions
Where Are We in the Labor Market Recovery?
Recessions, Housing Market Disruptions, and the Mobility of Workers
The Employment Report and Displaced Workers
The Great Recession and its Impact on Different Industries
Has the Beveridge Curve Shifted?
The Labor Market for Men and Women
Could Low Educational Attainment Be Slowing the Recovery?
Recent Manufacturing Employment Growth
Economic Projections from the April FOMC Meeting
Some Popular Locales Now Facing Gloomier Labor Market
Hours and Labor Market Slack
Ohio’s Labor Market Cycles
The Employment Situation, January
Fourth District Employment Conditions, December 2009
The Employment Situation, December
Fourth District Employment Conditions, November 2009
The Employment Situation
Fourth District Employment Conditions, October 2009
Ohio's Economic Momentum
The Employment Situation, October 2009
Fourth District Employment Conditions, September 2009
Alternative Measures of the Unemployment Rate
The Employment Situation, September 2009
Fourth District Employment Condtions, August 2009
Pittsburgh's Labor Market Performance over the Recession
The Employment Situation, August 2009
Fourth District Employment Conditions, July 2009
The Incidence and Duration of Unemployment over the Business Cycle
The Employment Situation, July 2009
Fourth District Employment Conditions, June 2009
Fourth District Employment Conditions, May 2009
The Employment Situation, June 2009
Fourth District Employment Conditions, April 2009
The Employment Situation, May 2009
The Labor Market in this Downturn: A Historical Comparison
Putting the Current Recession in Perspective
Regional Labor Market Recessions and Recoveries
The Employment Situation, April 2009
Involuntary Part-Time Workers and the Deficiencies of the Unemployment Rate
Fourth District Employment Conditions, February 2009
The Employment Situation, March 2009
Employment Loss in Ohio's Manufacturing Industry
Fourth District Employment Conditions, January 2009
The Employment Situation, February 2009
Fourth District Employment Conditions, December 2008
The Employment Situation, January 2009
Ohio's Local Labor Markets
Labor Turnover
The Employment Situation, December 2008
Ohio's Business Cycle
Fourth District Employment Conditions, November 2008
Labor Costs
Fourth District Employment Conditions, October 2008
The Employment Situation, November 2008
Fourth District Employment Conditions, September
The Employment Situation, October 2008
Comparing Current Payroll Employment Changes with Past Recessions
Fourth District Employment Conditions, August
The Employment Situation, September 2008
Trend Unemployment and What It Says about Unemployment Patterns
Fourth District Employment Conditions, July
The Employment Situation, August
State Labor Markets
Aggregate Labor Force Participation
Fourth District Employment Conditions, June
The Employment Situation, July
Will We Have Another “Jobless” Recovery?
Fourth District Employment Conditions, May
The Employment Situation, June
Just When Did the Labor Market Begin to Soften?
Real Income Growth across Metropolitan Areas
The Employment Situation, May
Labor Turnover and Employment in Different U.S. Regions
Fourth District Employment Conditions, March
Gender Differences in Employment Statistics
Fourth District Employment Conditions, February
Fourth District Employment Conditions, January
The Employment Situation, March
Does the Recent Trend in Labor Demand Presage Recession?
Preliminary Employment Data Might Miss a Recession Onset
Labor Force Participation in the United States and Ohio
Fourth District Employment Conditions, December
The Employment Situation, January
The Ups and Downs in Regional Employment Statistics
Manufacturing Employment
The Employment Situation, December
Fourth District Employment Conditions, October
The Employment Situation, November
Fourth District Employment Conditions, September
Women in the Labor Force
The Employment Situation, October
Union Membership
The Cincinnati Metropolitan Statistical Area
Fourth District Employment Conditions, August
The Employment Situation, September
Labor Turnover
Fourth District Employment Conditions, July
The Employment Situation, August
Revisions to the Employment Report
Younger Workers and Summertime Employment
Fourth District Employment Conditions, June
The Employment Situation, July
How Do Americans Spend Their Time?
Fourth District Employment Conditions, May
The Employment Situation, June
Employment and Firm Size over the Business Cycle
Fourth District Employment Conditions, April
Manufacturing Employment
The Employment Situation, May
The Youngest Baby Boomers’ Experience in the Labor Market
Fourth District Employment Conditions, March
The Employment Situation, April
Fourth District Employment Conditions, February
Employment Flows and Firm Size
Labor Costs
Fourth District Employment Conditions, January
The Employment Situation, March
Minimum Wage Earners
Construction Activity and Employment
Women in the Workforce
The Employment Situation, February
The ADP National Employment Report
Job Creation and Job Destruction
Extended Mass Layoffs
The Metal Working Industry
Employment during the Recovery
The Employment Situation, January
Fourth District Employment Conditions, December
Employment Cost Index
Job-to-Job Movers
Fourth District Employment Conditions, November
The Employment Situation, December
Labor Turnover

Manufacturing

The Erie Metropolitan Statistical Area
The Metal Working Industry
Ohio s Automobile Industry

Metropolitan Area Profile

The Columbus Metropolitan Statistical Area
The Erie Metropolitan Statistical Area
The Cleveland Metropolitan Statistical Area
The Pittsburgh Metropolitan Statistical Area
The Akron Metropolitan Statistical Area

Monetary Policy

More Transparency, But Not a Crystal Ball
Central Bank Liquidity Swaps
Policy Innovations at the Zero Lower Bound
The Shout with Operation Twist
Interest Rates Have Responded to the Fed’s New Language
The Impact of GDP Revisions on Taylor Rule Estimations
A Subtle Shift in FOMC Policy
Short-Term Interest Rate Markets
Policymaking for the Future
Potential Risks Associated with an Itchy Trigger Finger
How Should We Measure Success?
Economic Projections from the January FOMC Meeting
The Execution of the AIG Exit Plan
Ten-Year Treasury Rates
Economic Projections from the November FOMC Meeting
A Positive Trend for the Fed’s Exposure to AIG
FOMC Keeps It Steady Ahead
Eurodollar Futures, Taylor Rules, and the Conduct of Future Monetary Policy
Measuring Market Beliefs about the Fed Policy Rates
Economic Projections from the June FOMC Meeting
The Yield Curve, June 2010
Market Expectations for Policy Rates
Monetary Policy and an Extended Period of Time
Recent Firming in the Federal Funds Market
Market Expectations for Monetary Policy in the U.S. and Europe
The Beginnings of Normalcy
A Sign of Normalization
Treasury Deposits and Excess Bank Reserves
Inflation and Inflation Expectations
The Supplemental Financing Program
The Policy Statement: A Slowdown of Asset Purchases
The Changing Composition of the Fed?s Balance Sheet
Implementing Long-Term Security Purchases
Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy
New Policy Moves and the Term Asset-Backed Securities Loan Facility
The Impact of Credit Easing So Far
Credit Easing: A Policy for a Time of Financial Crisis
A Focus on Quantitative Easing
Staying the Course
Another Steady Rate Decision
Steady on Policy Rate, but Alert to Inflationary Pressures
Supplying Liquidity: The Tried and True and the New
Down Another Seventy-Five
Another Move, but with Less Surprise
Providing Liquidity
The Funds Rate, Liquidity, and the Term Auction Facility
The Well-Anticipated Rate Cut
Reserve Market Rates and Discount Window Lending
The Long-Anticipated Rate Cut
A Step Towards Neutral
When Did Inflation Persistence Change?
Assessing New Information: What?s Permanent, What?s Not?
Monetary Policy: What’s in a Few Words?
Monetary Policy: Holding Steady
Monetary Policy: No Surprise Here
Monetary Policy in the United States, the Euro Area, and Japan
Monetary Policy: A Statement of Confidence?
Is Inflation Changing Its Ways?
The January 31 FOMC Meeting
Monetary Policy Stays Put
Monetary Aggregates
Market Expectations of Policy Rates

Regional Banking and Financial Institutions

Seriously Delinquent Mortgages in the Fourth District
Fourth District Bank Holding Companies
Fourth District Community Banks
Fourth District Community Banks
Fourth District Community Banks
Fourth District Bank Holding Companies
Fourth District Community Banks
Business Loan Markets
Foreign Banks in the United States
Fourth District Bank Holding Companies
Fourth District Community Banks
Business Loan Markets
A Close Look at Fourth District Bank Holding Companies
A Close Look at Fourth District Community Banks
Fourth District Banking Conditions

Regional Economics

Trends in Housing Prices per Square Foot
Domestic Migration and its Impact on Ohio
Pittsburgh’s Labor Market in the Recession and Recovery
Local Government Employment in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Kentucky, and West Virginia
Recent Fourth District Foreclosure Trends
Fourth District Employment Conditions
Recent Population Trends in the Midwest
The Fourth District: The Next Big Energy Producer?
Shadow Inventory Still Weighing on Ohio Housing Prices
Metropolitan and Micropolitan Population Growth
Trends in Office Vacancy Rates
The Recovery, Revised
Educational Attainment Trends in the Fourth District
A Cash Buildup and Business Investment
New Residential Construction Activity in Fourth District Metro Areas
Job Churning in Regional Labor Markets
Small Business Lending
State Revenue Declines in the Fourth District
Changes in Foreclosure and Unemployment across States
Recent Manufacturing Employment Growth
Homeowner and Rental Vacancy Trends in the Fourth District
Ohio’s Labor Market Cycles
Fourth District Employment Conditions, December 2009
Fourth District Employment Conditions, November 2009
Fourth District Employment Conditions, October 2009
Ohio's Economic Momentum

Trade

Ohio Exports

US Economy

The Yield Curve and Economic Growth, March 2011
The Yield Curve and Economic Growth, February 2011
Economy at a Glance
An Immoderate Inventory Cycle
Personal Savings Up, National Savings Down
Signs of Abating Default Risk
November Price Statistics
The Employment Situation
Real GDP: Third-Quarter 2009 Second Estimate
Economic Projections from the November FOMC Meeting
October Price Statistics
Real GDP: Third-Quarter 2009 Advance Estimate
Do Shipping Volumes Signal an End of the Recession?
The Effects of “Cash for Clunkers” on the Auto Industry
Real GDP: Second-Quarter 2009 Final Estimate
Pittsburgh's Labor Market Performance over the Recession
The Yield Curve, September 2009
Recent Forecasts of Government Debt
Real GDP: Second-Quarter 2009 Revised Estimate
Bank Exposure to Commercial Real Estate
Real GDP: Second-Quarter 2009 Advance Estimate and Comprehensive Benchmark Revision
Private Nonresidential Construction Investment
Productivity in the Recession and Going Forward
Economic Projections from the June FOMC Meeting
Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policy
Real GDP: First-Quarter 2009 Final Estimate
A Global Fiscal Crisis?
Improving Financial Market Conditions and Economic Recovery
Real GDP: First-Quarter 2009 Preliminary Estimate
Putting the Current Recession in Perspective
The Credit Environment for Business Loans
The Yield Curve, May 2009
Economic Projections from the April FOMC Meeting
Is the Housing Bust Over?
Mighty Bad Recessions
The Changing Composition of Consumption
Real GDP: First-Quarter 2009 Advance Estimate
Fourth District Employment Conditions, March 2009
An Overview of the Healthcare System
U.S. Real Estate: Looking for Progress in Price Stability and Financing
Real GDP: Fourth-Quarter 2008 Final Estimate
Real GDP: Fourth-Quarter 2008 Preliminary Estimate
The Latest S&P Case-Shiller Housing Price Indexes
The Recent Increase in the Volatility of Economic Indicators
The U.S. Auto Industry
Economic Projections from the January FOMC Meeting
Real GDP: Fourth-Quarter 2008 Advance Estimate
Dating a Recession and Predicting its Demise
Real GDP: Third-Quarter Final Estimate
The Ups and Downs of Current-Account Deficits
Metro-Area Differences in House Price Indexes
Japan’s Quantitative Easing Policy
GDP: Third-Quarter Preliminary Estimate
Industrial Production, Commodity Prices, and the Baltic Dry Index
Business Loan Markets
Trends in the Components in Real GDP
GDP: Third-Quarter Advance Estimate
What Exactly Is a Recession—and Are We in One?
Housing and the Banking Industry
Cracks in the Real Economy
Second-Quarter GDP, Final Revision
Do Oil Prices Directly Affect the Stock Market?
Second-Quarter GDP Preliminary Revision: Onward and Upward?
Update on the Housing Market
Real GDP: Second–Quarter Advance Estimate and Benchmark Revisions
Will We Have Another “Jobless” Recovery?
Fourth District Employment Conditions, May
The Employment Situation, June
First Quarter Real GDP: Final Estimate
Housing Values
Where’s the Spillover from Housing?
Real GDP First-Quarter 2008 Preliminary Estimate
The Employment Situation, April
Real GDP 2008:Q1 Advance Estimate
What Interest Rate Spreads Can Tell Us about Mortgage Markets
Mortgage Delinquencies in Fourth District Metropolitan Areas
Recession: Are We or Aren't We?
Real GDP: Fourth-Quarter 2007 Final Estimate
Does the Recent Trend in Labor Demand Presage Recession?
Preliminary Employment Data Might Miss a Recession Onset
Home Price Indexes
Housing Doldrums
The Employment Situation, February
Real GDP 2007: Fourth-Quarter Preliminary Estimate
The Pass-through of Oil Prices to Gasoline Prices
Real GDP Fourth-Quarter 2007 Advance Estimate
Housing Markets
A Review of the Latest Business Cycle
Third-Quarter 2007 Final GDP
Business Establishments
The Housing Market
Third-Quarter Preliminary GDP Release
Women in the Labor Force
Housing Cycles
Union Membership
Financial Markets: Settling but Cautious
Third-Quarter GDP
Jumbo Mortgages and Mortgage Market Conditions
Who Cares about the Housing Market?
The Near-Term Economic Outlook
Housing Markets
Real GDP: Preliminary Estimate
The Advance Real GDP Report
Housing
Technology Investment
Real GDP Growth
Home Prices
Business Investment
Subprime Statistics
Household Wealth and Consumption
A Tale of Two Houses
A Mixed Message on Manufacturing
Is Manufacturing Going the Way of Agriculture?
The Budget and Economic Outlook
High-Technology Manufacturing
Industrial Production Closes 2006 in Fine Form
Some Say Housing Numbers Encouraging
New Cities Added to Case-Shiller Home Price Indices
ISM Report on Business Activity
Housing
Durable Goods Orders and Personal Income and Consumption Reports
Revisions to Real GDP
Coincident Economic Indexes  (PDF)

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